Grizzlies vs. Lakers SGP predictions Jan. 4: Bet on Luka Doncic, Lakers to defend home court

Photo by Jessie Alcheh/AP.
Photo by Jessie Alcheh/AP.

The Memphis Grizzlies and Los Angeles Lakers run it back in L.A. to start the New Year.

The pregame narrative: These two played on Jan. 2 and the Lakers came away witn the 127-121 win. In the rematch, I expect the Lakers to be even more dominant behind a strong effort from Luka Doncic.

Check out my Grizzlies vs. Lakers SGP predictions for Jan. 4, featuring prop bets on Doncic and Santi Aldama.

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Grizzlies vs. Lakers SGP

Parlay: Doncic over 33.5 points | Aldama 6+ rebounds | Lakers -5.5 (+310)

Doncic over 33.5 points (-152): In the game a couple of days ago, Doncic scored 34 points on 8-of-18 shooting from the field.

It was a below-average night in terms of volume. The NBA's scoring leader averages more than 20 shot attempts per game, so an uptick in volume here would give him every chance to go over this total again.

That's mainly because the Grizzlies allow the most points in the league to opposing point guards (28.66).

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In his first game against Memphis back near the start of the season, Doncic scored 44 points on 27 shots.

Hitting 17 free throws helped him cash this wager on Friday, but he should'nt need so many trips to the line this time.

Look for Doncic to cook the Grizzlies for the third time this season on Sunday.

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Aldama 6+ rebounds (-250): With Zach Edey sidelined, Aldama has become very important down low for Memphis.

He remains in a bench role, but the current starter is Christian Koloko, who plays 19.2 minutes per night and averages 3.3 rebounds.

Koloko hardly takes away opportunities from Aldama, who's averaging 32.7 minutes over the past 10 games.

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During that span, he's 8-2 against this wager and averaging 7.2 rebounds.

Aldama played 29 minutes against the Lakers on Friday and hauled in seven rebounds.

As long as it's not a blowout, Aldama should play the same amount if not more this time around.

Lakers -5.5 (-110): I simply do not trust the Grizzlies with how loaded their injury report is.

Many rotation players are out, and Ja Morant is questionable for tonight's game.

He played on Friday and the Lakers still covered this spread. If he's out for this game, this line would almost certainly move in L.A.'s favour.

The Lakers are 21-11 this season and LeBron James is getting better as the season goes on. He scored 31 points against Memphis last time out.

Austin Reaves remains out, but LeBron, Luka and the Lakers' cast of role players are more than enough to dominate a shorthanded Memphis squad.

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Grizzlies vs. Lakers predictions made at 11:43 a.m. on Jan. 4, 2026.

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