The Milwaukee Bucks and Sacramento Kings take part in what I feel should be a one-sided matchup.
The pregame narrative: Giannis Antetokounmpo is probable for tonight's contest. If he plays, the Bucks have a good shot at beating what should be a fatigued Kings squad.
Check out my Bucks vs. Kings SGP predictions for Jan. 4, featuring prop bets on Giannis and Ryan Rollins.
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Bucks vs. Kings SGP
Parlay: Giannis 30+ points | Rollins 2+ threes | Bucks -6.5 (+380)
Giannis 30+ points (-115): Giannis's status is important, but being listed as probable is enough for me to build an SGP around him in this matchup.
The Kings lack paint defence, and I don't have to sell his ability to take advantage of that.
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They allow the second-most points in the paint per game (55.6) and the fourth-most points to power forwards per game (24.57).
So if I can get the best power forward in the NBA to score around his season average at a playable price, I'll take it, even if he's on a minutes restriction.
Giannis has scored 30+ points in back-to-back games while playing less than 30 minutes.
NBA SGP legs
Rollins 2+ threes (-265): This is supposed to be the safest leg of the parlay based on the odds, and I think that will hold.
Rollins is a sniper, hitting 2.5 threes per game at a 42.2% clip.
The Bucks' starting point guard is coming off a 29-point performance over the Charlotte Hornets, playing 36 minutes in the win.
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He hit 6-of-7 threes, which put him at eight straight games with at least two made 3s. During that time, he made 3.3 threes per game at a 53.1% clip.
Rollins is white-hot right now, playing against the team with the fourth-worst defensive rating in the NBA (121.4). This pick feels like a no-brainer.
Bucks -6.5 (-110): This is an all-Bucks SGP, concluding with a prediction that Milwaukee wins this game handily.
The Bucks obviously look way better when Giannis is playing but this leg is mainly a fade of the Kings.
- They are 8-27 overall while dealing with injuries for Domantas Sabonis (out) and Zach LaVine (GTD). LaVine hasn't played since Dec. 14, so even if he's available, he should be on a restriction.
- Plus, Sacramento has played a lot over the past eight days. This will be the team's fifth game in that span.
Things aren't looking up for the Kings, at least anytime soon, and chances are they're sellers at the deadline.
The Bucks are 12-9 with Giannis in the lineup and can still make a run at the postseason if he can stay healthy.
There's too much to like on the side of Milwaukee.
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Bucks vs. Kings predictions made at 11:43 a.m. on Jan. 4, 2026.
