Jason Robertson is on a heater, and he headlines Tuesday's NHL goal picks.
The pregame narrative: Robertson and the Dallas Stars look for a sixth straight win when they take on the New York Islanders tonight. Before that, take the value on Timo Meier with one of his star teammates out of the lineup.
Check out my NHL goal picks for Nov. 18.
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NHL goal picks Nov. 18
Best Bet: Meier to score (+188)
With Jack Hughes out of action for the next several weeks, Meier has carved out an even bigger role for the New Jersey Devils.
In their first game without Hughes, Meier played a whopping 24:22 on ice and recorded five shots.
He didn't score, but that's a great baseline to work with moving forward.
Overall, he has five goals this season. Not great, but I'll put a positive spin on it.
- Meier ranks second on the Devils (behind Hughes) with 60 shots. No one else has more than 40.
- His 8.3 shooting percentage is bound to improve. He has finished each of the last five seasons above 10%.
-> Wager on Meier at NorthStar Bets
I'm expecting regression to the mean, and this is a good spot to back Meier.
The Tampa Bay Lightning are a below-average defensive team, allowing 3.06 goals per game.
Key stat: Meier scored in his first meeting with the Lightning this season.
NHL predictions
Robertson to score (+140): Robertson has been on fire. He has six goals during his three-game scoring streak.
He started the season slowly with just three goals in his first 16 games, but this recent stretch is more indicative of his offensive level.
-> Bet on Robertson and the Stars tonight!
Robertson deserves to be a top goalscorer. His 11.3 expected goals rank third in the NHL. Nathan MacKinnon, who has 14 goals, has the same amount of xG.
There aren't many who let it rip like Robertson. He's taken the second-most shots on goal in the league (82).
Despite that, the sniper is still priced at +140 to score, and I want in.
Tonight's opponent, the Islanders, has a lacklustre defence in front of a struggling Ilya Sorokin (.898 SV%).
NHL goal picks made at 10:21 a.m. ET on 11/18/2025.
