Ole Miss vs. Georgia Sugar Bowl SGP predictions: Bet on the Rebels, fade Gunner Stockton in +310 ticket

Bet on Trinidad Chambliss and the Ole Miss Rebels. Photo by Rogelio V. Solis/AP.
Bet on Trinidad Chambliss and the Ole Miss Rebels. Photo by Rogelio V. Solis/AP.

The Ole Miss Rebels and the Georgia Bulldogs fight for the final spot in the College Football Playoff semifinal.

The pregame narrative: Ole Miss and Georgia played a close game earlier this year, and I expect another tight contest. I'm taking the under on this game total as I expect familiarity to lead to better defensive results, and I'm also fading Gunner Stockton.

Check out my Ole Miss vs. Georgia predictions in this +310 same-game parlay.

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OIe Miss vs. Georgia predictions

Parlay: Ole Miss +6.5 | Under 56.5 points | Stockton under 249.5 passing yards (+310)

Ole Miss +6.5 (-112): The Rebels nearly upset the Bulldogs in their lone meeting earlier this year.

I'm betting on Ole Miss to keep it competitive once again.

Georgia won the first contest, 43-35, but the final score doesn't tell the full story. Ole Miss led the game, 35-26, through the first three quarters before an 0-17 run in the fourth led the Bulldogs to victory.

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The Bulldogs' inability to stop Trinidad Chambliss is another reason to like the Rebels. The quarterback threw for 263 yards and a touchdown while adding 42 yards and two scores on the ground in the first meeting.

Similar results from Chambliss should lead to a solid showing from Ole Miss.

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Rebels vs. Bulldogs SGP picks

Under 56.5 points (-114): Secondly, I expect fewer points the second time around.

Georgia's offence isn't necessarily lighting it up ahead of this game. The Bulldogs have combined for 44 points across their last two, including a 16-point showing against a very underwhelming Georgia Tech defence.

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Additionally, I expect rust to be a factor for Georgia. It hasn't played at all since Dec. 6, which is a long time to be off before competing in a high-pressure game.

If Georgia's offence takes even a quarter to get going, I really like the under on this number to come through.

Stockton under 249.5 passing yards (-225): Lastly, I'm taking the under on Stockton's passing yards.

The Georgia QB had his second-highest passing total in this year's game against Ole Miss. He threw for 289 yards and four touchdowns in his team's victory.

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So why am I fading him this time around?

Firstly, Ole Miss's defence has largely been solid against opposing passers this season. The Rebels have held opponents to 147.8 passing yards per game.

Secondly, rust can be a potential problem. The Bulldogs only averaged 220.3 passing yards per contest in 2025, and if they're not in sync early on, this number could be hard to hit.

Thirdly, this isn't a number Stockton beat very often. He fell short of this total in 10 of 13 outings.

Ole Miss vs. Georgia predictions made at 2:12 p.m. ET on Dec. 31, 2025.

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