Two proven goalscorers headline Tuesday's NHL picks.
The pregame narrative: David Pastrnak and Kyle Connor both have multiple 40-goal seasons under their belts. The Boston Bruins and Winnipeg Jets have been trending in the right direction, making their star players compelling picks.
Check out my NHL goal picks Nov. 4.
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NHL goal picks Nov. 4
Best Bet: Pastrnak to score (+120)
Boston has had an up-and-down start to the season, but Pastrnak has been producing throughout.
The Bruins have won four of their last five games after losing six in a row. In that 11-game stretch, Pastrnak has six goals and 13 points.
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The veteran winger plays top-line minutes and produces on the power play (three goals, five assists). Unsurprisingly, he leads Boston in the following offensive categories, per Natural Stat Trick:
- Shots (49)
- Shot attempts (110)
- Scoring chances (39)
Pastrnak also ranks second in xG (4.22) to Morgan Geekie, who paces the squad with nine goals.
I wouldn't be surprised if both of those guys scored against Ilya Sorokin and the New York Islanders tonight. Sorokin ranks 40th — in a 32-team league — in SV% (.877) and GAA (3.40).
Key stat: Pastrnak scored against the Islanders last Tuesday.
NHL predictions
Connor to score (+145): Connor has kept his foot on the gas after receiving an eight-year, $96 million contract before the season.
The American winger has eight goals and 17 points through 12 games. That puts him on pace for 54 goals and 116 points, well above his previous career highs (47 and 97).
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There's no reason to believe he'll slow down tonight:
- Connor has five goals and eight points in his last five games, cashing this bet four times.
- He leads the Jets in shots (47) and shot attempts (75), and he's third in scoring chances (38).
- Darcy Kuemper, who is in goal for the Los Angeles Kings, is struggling. He's allowed 3+ goals in four straight games and owns a .891 SV% (33rd in NHL).
NHL goal picks made at 1:35 p.m. ET on 11/04/2025.
