The Toronto Maple Leafs welcome the Utah Mammoth to Scotiabank Arena on Wednesday.
The pregame narrative: Toronto needed four third-period goals to overcome the Pittsburgh Penguins, but that's now four wins in its last five games. William Nylander is healthy again and coming off a dominant performance against the Pens.
Check out my Maple Leafs predictions vs. the Mammoth for the game on Nov. 5, featuring a pick on defenceman Mikhail Sergachev.
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Maple Leaf vs. Mammoth predictions
Best Bet: Sergachev to score 1+ points (-107)
Sergachev runs the blue line in Utah.
- He is averaging 24:52 of ice time per game, which ranks 11th in the NHL.
- No other defenceman on the Mammoth plays more than 21 minutes.
The opportunity didn't turn into production right away. Sergachev had zero points through the first six games.
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But then he caught fire, scoring nine points over the last five games. That includes three multi-point performances.
Sergachev is a very good offensive defenceman when healthy. He had 53 points in 77 games last year and has a career high of 64 back with the Tampa Bay Lightning in 2022-23.
Toronto hasn't been good defensively, allowing the fifth-most goals per game in the league (3.62).
Utah should get on the board multiple times tonight, and Sergachev is a top candidate to contribute.
Key stat: Sergachev has cashed this wager in five straight games vs. the Leafs.
Best NHL prop picks
Nylander to score 2+ points (+180): Nylander ranks tied for seventh in the NHL with 18 points this season. The impressive part is that he's only played 10 games.
For reference, Connor McDavid leads the league with 21 points but needed 15 games to reach that total.
In Nylander's return against the Penguins, he was placed on the first line with Auston Matthews and Matthew Knies, and he recorded three points.
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That was his sixth multi-point game, and it puts him at 6-4 against this wager on the season.
For a prop often priced close to 2-to-1, that is a great hit rate.
If Nylander continues to play on the top line, he should see even more opportunities to score points.
Maple Leafs vs. Mammoth predictions made at 9:21 a.m. ET 11/05/2025.
