The Miami Dolphins look to win their third straight game when they battle the downtrodden New Orleans Saints on Sunday.
The Week 13 narrative: The Dolphins are doing their best to keep up in the AFC East. They have a good shot to get a step closer to .500 against the 2-9 Saints. Elsewhere, we have two picks from the Houston Texans vs. the Indianapolis Colts game.
Check out our NFL Week 13 staff best bets for our favourite picks this weekend.
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NFL Week 13 best bets
These NFL Week 13 best bets were provided by NorthStar Bets writers Jordan Horrobin and Spencer Closs.
Dolphins -6 (-110): I'm still annoyed that Tyler Shough's Saints won a 17-7 rock fight in Carolina three weeks ago. They had no business doing that.
But I won't let it deter me from fading New Orleans (3-8-0 ATS) on the road again, this time against a rested Dolphins team (6-5-0 ATS) that is capable of scoring points.
From Week 2 onward, Miami has averaged 21.8 points, scoring 30+ points in two of its past four games. New Orleans has only surpassed the 21-point threshold once all season.
The Saints just lost by two TDs in Atlanta last week, while the Dolphins were resting at home.
Keep in mind that that's the same Falcons team that Miami beat by 24 points in Atlanta last month.
-Horrobin
Texans vs. Colts ATS prediction
Colts -4.5 (-114): Having home-field advantage last week helped the Texans knock off the Bills as underdogs. But now it's Houston's turn to hit the road, and that's a different story entirely.
The Texans are 1-4 ATS on the road this season, failing to cover this spread in all three of their games as road dogs.
The Colts, meanwhile, are 4-1 ATS (5-0 SU) at home this season. And they have the second-best point differential in the NFL (+112).
-> Visit NorthStar Bets for all NFL Week 13 betting markets
Last week, as underdogs in Kansas City, the Colts couldn't hold onto a two-score lead in the fourth quarter. But returning home to Lucas Oil Stadium should help them stay composed and handle business in a critical AFC South showdown.
Neither C.J. Stroud nor Davis Mills scares me in a matchup against an Indy team that ranks in the top 10 in scoring on both sides of the ball.
-Horrobin
Cardinals vs. Buccaneers pick
Buccaneers -3 (-104): This should be a nice spot for Tampa Bay to bounce back.
The Bucs have lost three straight, but those losses should be taken with a grain of salt.
- Week 10: 28-23 loss vs. New England
- Week 11: 44-32 loss @ Buffalo
- Week 12: 34-7 loss @ L.A. Rams
Those are a few of the top teams in the NFL and legit Super Bowl contenders. The other two losses on Tampa's record came against the Eagles and Lions.
-> Bet on Cardinals vs. Buccaneers
The Bucs have been the victim of a tough schedule, but are a perfect 3-0 against teams under .500 this season.
That brings me to the 3-8 Cardinals. They rank in the bottom half for scoring on both sides of the ball and have lost three straight. They should struggle on the road in Week 13.
-Closs
NFL Week 13 best bets: Player props
Nico Collins over 66.5 receiving yards (-115): Collins is quietly having another strong season with the Texans. He is averaging 5.2 receptions and 69.7 yards per game.
He's been specifically good lately, going 3-1 against this wager over the last four games while averaging 89.5 yards per contest.
-> Bet on Collins vs. the Colts!
The Colts have been a tough out for any team in 2025, but not because of their secondary.
Indianapolis allows the fifth most passing yards against (245.4) and has given up 100+ yards to WR1s in back-to-back weeks.
- Drake London in Week 12: six catches, 104 yards.
- Rashee Rice in Week 12: eight catches, 141 yards.
Collins is cut from the same cloth and should do work against a slacking defence.
-Closs
NFL Week 13 best bets made at 11:40 a.m. ET on Nov. 26, 2025.
