There are some truly elite NFL matchups on the Week 11 schedule, headlined by a pair of divisional battles in the 4 p.m. slate.
The Week 11 narrative: In the AFC West, the Denver Broncos look to stay atop the division as they host the Kansas City Chiefs — the nine-time reigning division champs. Elsewhere, the winner of the Seattle Seahawks vs. Los Angeles Rams takes the lead in the NFC West.
Check out our staff's NFL Week 11 ATS picks for predictions on every game.
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NFL Week 11 ATS picks
NorthStar Bets' Avery Perri, Jordan Horrobin, Spencer Closs, Chris Toman and Steven Psihogios offer up their NFL Week 11 ATS picks for all 15 games.
NFL odds as of 10 a.m. ET on Thursday, Nov. 13, 2025.
Thursday Night Football pick
Jets vs. Patriots (Thursday, Nov. 13: 8:15 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: New England -13
Closs says: The Jets have won back-to-back games, but I'm not sold on them by any means. In Week 8, they made a huge comeback to beat the Bengals by one and then beat the lowly Browns by a TD last Sunday. The Patriots are a different beast, sitting at 8-2 behind MVP-level play from Drake Maye. New England has won five straight games, and everything points to them routing the Jets at home.
Staff picks: Perri (NE) | Horrobin (NE) | Closs (NE) | Toman (NYJ) | Psihogios (NE)
NFL ATS picks: The early Sunday slate
Commanders vs. Dolphins (Sunday, Nov. 16: 9:30 a.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: Miami -3
Horrobin says: Miami has won or lost by 17+ points in four consecutive games, making it possibly the most unpredictable team in the NFL right now. But given that I view the Commanders’ defence as a surefire disaster, I’ll take the Dolphins to cover a few points on a neutral field in Spain. Washington is on a five-game ATS losing skid, posting a -90 point differential in that span.
Staff picks: Perri (MIA) | Horrobin (MIA) | Closs (WSH) | Toman (MIA) | Psihogios (WSH)
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Bears vs. Vikings (Sunday, Nov. 16: 1 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: Minnesota -3
Perri says: Chicago lost to Minnesota in Week 1, but a lot has changed since then. Caleb Williams is locked in, and the Bears have won six of their last seven while averaging 27.7 PPG. I don't trust J.J. McCarthy (who has a 5:6 TD-to-INT ratio and a 26.7 QBR) to keep up with that hot of an offence.
Staff picks: Perri (CHI) | Horrobin (CHI) | Closs (CHI) | Toman (CHI) | Psihogios (MIN)
Panthers vs. Falcons (Sunday, Nov. 16: 1 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: Atlanta -3.5
Closs says: The Falcons took the Colts to overtime in Week 9 but ultimately lost by six. They still covered the 6.5-point spread and are now 4-2 ATS with Michael Penix and Drake London active. Now, they host the Panthers, who came back down to earth with a 17-7 loss to the New Orleans Saints in Week 9. I expect Atlanta to come out firing at home, avenging its 30-0 loss to Carolina in Week 3.
Staff picks: Perri (ATL) | Horrobin (ATL) | Closs (ATL) | Toman (ATL) | Psihogios (CAR)
Buccaneers vs. Bills (Sunday, Nov. 16: 1 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: Buffalo -5.5
Perri says: This is a smash play in my books. Josh Allen and Co. had a tough outing in Miami last week, but they're back in the friendly confines of Highmark Stadium, where they're 22-3 since the beginning of the 2023-24 season. In that span, they own a +12.6 average margin of victory and are 6-0 against NFC teams. Buffalo should put up points, and I don't believe Tampa's injured offence can keep up.
Staff picks: Perri (BUF) | Horrobin (TB) | Closs (TB) | Toman (BUF) | Psihogios (BUF)
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Bengals vs. Steelers (Sunday, Nov. 16: 1 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: Pittsburgh -5.5
Perri says: Pittsburgh has had a Jekyll and Hyde season, with one of its ugliest losses coming against Cincinnati in prime time a few weeks ago. Joe Flacco torched the Steelers in that game, and Cincinnati is averaging 37.6 points and 454.3 yards with him under centre. I like the divisional road dog to come through and cover in this matchup.
Staff picks: Perri (CIN) | Horrobin (CIN) | Closs (CIN) | Toman (CIN) | Psihogios (CIN)
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Packers vs. Giants (Sunday, Nov. 16: 1 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: Green Bay -7
Closs says: It's hard to trust Green Bay's offence, scoring just 20 points total in the past two games. But I can stomach siding with the Packers over an injury-riddled Giants squad. Rookie QB Jaxon Dart is out, leaving Jameis Winston as New York's starter. Winston appeared in 12 games for the Browns last season, finishing with a 13:12 TD-to-INT ratio. Green Bay's defence should shut him down, and a few scores should be enough to cover this spread.
Staff picks: Perri (GB) | Horrobin (NYG) | Closs (GB) | Toman (GB) | Psihogios (NYG)
Texans vs. Titans (Sunday, Nov. 16: 1 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: Houston -7
Closs says: I have little faith in the Texans covering a big spread on the road. Houston is 1-3 away from home, averaging 20.5 points. That number is boosted by a 44-10 thrashing of the Ravens, who were severely shorthanded in that game. Houston scored 17 or fewer in the other three contests. There isn't much to like with the Titans, either, but I believe they can keep pace if Houston's offence is once again a no-show.
Staff picks: Perri (TEN) | Horrobin (TEN) | Closs (TEN) | Toman (TEN) | Psihogios (HOU)
Chargers vs. Jaguars (Sunday, Nov. 16: 1 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: Los Angeles -3
Horrobin says: Down both of its starting tackles, L.A. earned a convincing win last week for its third consecutive victory by 10+ points. Jacksonville, meanwhile, was busy blowing a 19-point lead against the Texans. The Jaguars are 0-3-1 ATS in their past four games, and all three ATS defeats came as underdogs. L.A. is in the top 10 in yards on both sides of the ball, while Jacksonville is outside the top 15 in total offence and defence.
Staff picks: Perri (JAX) | Horrobin (LAC) | Closs (LAC) | Toman (JAX) | Psihogios (JAX)
NFL 4 p.m. slate
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Seahawks vs. Rams (Sunday, Nov. 16: 4:05 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: Los Angeles -3
Horrobin says: With how even the Seahawks and Rams are on paper, my preference is to bank a few points on Seattle’s side. Both teams are 7-2 (SU and ATS), and all of their losses have come in one-score games. L.A. does have home-field advantage, but Seattle is 11-1 SU and 8-3-1 ATS on the road since the start of last season.
Staff picks: Perri (LAR) | Horrobin (SEA) | Closs (SEA) | Toman (SEA) | Psihogios (LAR)
49ers vs. Cardinals (Sunday, Nov. 16: 4:05 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: San Francisco -3
Perri says: The Cardinals have dropped six of their last seven games and will be without Marvin Harrison Jr. on Sunday. Can Jacoby Brissett lead Arizona to an upset win? I think not. Brock Purdy has a real chance to return this week, and the Niners' offence has looked good in the past two weeks with Mac Jones under centre.
Staff picks: Perri (SF) | Horrobin (SF) | Closs (ARI) | Toman (SF) | Psihogios (SF)
Ravens vs. Browns (Sunday, Nov. 16: 4:25 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: Baltimore -7.5
Toman says: Demolishing the Dolphins in Lamar Jackson's return didn't prove much. But Baltimore's eight-point Week 10 victory on the road vs. the Vikings was more impressive. The Browns are in for a challenge. They've been walloped several times this season and had an ugly loss to the Jets last Sunday, coming off their bye week.
Staff picks: Perri (BAL) | Horrobin (BAL) | Closs (BAL) | Toman (BAL) | Psihogios (CLE)
Chiefs vs. Broncos (Sunday, Nov. 16: 4:25 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: Kansas City -4
Perri says: The Broncos, winners of seven straight, are one of the hottest teams in the NFL. But Denver barely scraped by against a bunch of bad teams, winning just two of those games by four-plus points. Patrick Mahomes has been in MVP form and is 6-1 SU at Mile High. The Chiefs are also coming off a bye, and I expect them to lay a beating on their divisional rivals.
Staff picks: Perri (KC) | Horrobin (DEN) | Closs (KC) | Toman (KC) | Psihogios (DEN)
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Sunday and Monday Night NFL Week 11 ATS picks
Lions vs. Eagles (Sunday, Nov. 9: 8:20 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: Philadelphia -2.5
Horrobin says: Philadelphia is playing on a short week, but it’s easily the healthier of the two squads lining up at Lincoln Financial Field on Sunday night. Detroit had 15 players who were either limited or absent from Wednesday’s practice (the first of the week), while Philly had just four. The Lions and Eagles have four common opponents, and Philly is 4-0 SU and ATS in those games (Detroit is 1-3 SU and ATS).
Staff picks: Perri (DET) | Horrobin (PHI) | Closs (DET) | Toman (DET) | Psihogios (DET)
Cowboys vs. Raiders (Monday, Nov. 10: 8:15 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: Dallas -3
Tonan says: Dallas got its bye at the right time after two straight double-digit losses. The Cowboys aren't playing great football but at least they can score. That's not something the Raiders can say. In three of their last five games, they've put up totals of zero, six and seven points. Las Vegas is scoring the second-fewest points in the NFL (15.4/game). Dallas is almost doubling that (29.2).
Staff picks: Perri (DAL) | Horrobin (DAL) | Closs (LV) | Toman (DAL) | Psihogios (DAL)
NFL ATS picks: Week 10 + season records: Closs: 7-7-0 (75-74-0) | Psihogios: 8-6-0 (74-75-0) | Toman: 3-11-0 (69-80-0) | Perri: 5-9-0 (71-78-0) | Horrobin: 6-8-0 (67-82-0)
