In a rematch of their season-opening matchup, the defending champion Philadelphia Eagles face the Dallas Cowboys on Sunday afternoon.
The pregame narrative: Philly won a pair of rock fights in back-to-back weeks and owns a very comfortable lead in the woeful NFC East. Dallas, meanwhile, looks to build on a 2-1-1 home record to get back into the playoff hunt.
Check out my Eagles vs. Cowboys SGP predictions for Nov. 23, featuring Jalen Hurts and George Pickens.
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Eagles vs. Cowboys predictions
SGP: Eagles -2.5 | Hurts 30+ rush yards | Pickens 50+ rec. yards (+330)
Eagles -2.5 (-136): Philadelphia has played plenty of ugly football this season. In its past two games —both in prime time — the combined point total was a mere 42 points.
But the Eagles won and covered in both of those matchups against two playoff-expectant teams (Lions, Packers). Now they'll face a Cowboys squad that's a less balanced and talented bunch.
- Dallas is 4-5-1 SU, and all five of its losses have come by at least four points.
- Since the start of the 2023 season, Philly has covered a -2.5 spread in four of five games vs. Dallas.
Philadelphia's issues have been on offence, not defence. And the Cowboys' 31st-ranked scoring defence (29.3 PPG) should help with that.
The Eagles are 7-3 ATS this year and have covered a -2.5 spread in all eight outright victories.
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Hurts 30+ rushing yards (-121): Philadelphia's offence has been unpredictable in a myriad of ways, and that includes Hurts' production in the ground game.
In each of his previous four seasons, Hurts finished with 600+ rushing yards and 10+ TDs. Altogether, he averaged 44.8 yards/game.
This season, though, he's on pace for 450 yards at an average of 26.5 YPG.
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Hurts' most active game as a runner came in Week 1 against Dallas, when he carried 14 times for 62 yards and two TDs. That's not totally surprising when you look at his track record in this matchup:
- 7 starts vs. Dallas
- 45.0 rush yards/game
- 5 rushing TDs
Hurts has cashed this yardage milestone in six of seven career starts vs. the Cowboys.
Coming off another high-volume week (10 carries, 31 yards, 1 TD vs. Detroit), look for Hurts to use his legs.
Pickens 50+ receiving yards (-225): Pickens failed to hit this yardage milestone in Dallas' season opener against Philadelphia. But that was also the wideout's first game with his new team, and I like to think circumstances have changed since then.
- In Week 1, Pickens had 30 receiving yards vs. Philly on three catches (four targets). He has only seen fewer than six targets in one game since.
- From Week 2 onward, Pickens has averaged 8.8 targets, 6.1 receptions and 97.6 yards.
- Pickens has 50+ receiving yards in nine straight games.
-> Bet on Jalen Hurts, George Pickens on Sunday afternoon
Philly's defence is no joke, but the consistent opportunity that Pickens sees as the Cowboys' WR2 should make this a layup.
The ex-Steeler ranks in the 80th percentile or better in target share on routes run, team target share, team air yards share and air yards per game, according to Rotowire.
Eagles vs. Cowboys predictions made at 2:30 p.m. ET 11/22/2025.
