The Buffalo Bills attempt to put their road woes to rest on Sunday against the Pittsburgh Steelers.
The pregame narrative: Buffalo is 2-3 on the road, coming off a loss against the Houston Texans in Week 12. Despite that, the Bills are 3.5-point favourites over the AFC North-leading Steelers.
Check out my Bills vs. Steelers picks for Nov. 30, featuring a prop bet on Josh Allen.
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Bills vs. Steelers picks
Best Bet: Over 46 points (-108)
Both teams are aiming for the playoffs, but the defence between these two hasn't been very good.
- The Bills and Steelers own a below-average scoring defence and combine to allow 46.8 points per game.
- Buffalo struggles to defend the run, ranking third in ground yards against (148.9/game) and will be without defensive tackle Dion Dawkins for this contest.
- Meanwhile, Pittsburgh can't defend the air, but more on that with my next pick.
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There is a distinct weakness on both sides, and these offences are talented enough to take advantage. Each team ranks inside the top 10 for scoring.
The Bills haven't been good on the road, but have lost to two of the best defences in the NFL (Texans, Falcons).
Pittsburgh is nowhere near the same level on defence has consistently seen games surpass this mark in 2025.
Key stat: The Steelers have an 8-3 over record against this total.
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Top NFL prop prediction
Allen over 229.5 passing yards (-113): Let's get back to that horrendous pass defence for the Steelers I briefly mentioned earlier.
Pittsburgh is the worst team in the NFL at stopping the pass, allowing 258.7 yards per game.
I know Allen has been much worse on the road, but those losses were all to teams that are above average at defending the air.
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And by the way, he still managed to cash this wager in two straight away games.
Overall, the Bills quarterback still averages 246.3 passing yards per game. If we narrow that down to the past four games, Allen is averaging 287.3 yards.
Despite Buffalo being 2-2 over the last four weeks, Allen has actually played well and should be in for another above-average afternoon against the Steelers.
Bills vs. Steelers picks made at 1:14 p.m. on Nov. 28, 2025.
