The Kansas City Chiefs and Washington Commanders wrap up NFL Week 8 at Arrowhead Stadium.
The pregame narrative: Kansas City enters this primetime contest as Super Bowl favourites after a strong run of form. The Chiefs, unsurprisingly, are laying 12 points against the Jayden Daniels-less Commanders.
Check out my Commanders vs. Chiefs picks for Oct. 27, featuring a prop bet on Isiah Pacheco.
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Commanders vs. Chiefs picks
Best Bet: Chiefs -12 (-108)
Remember when people were calling curtains on the Chiefs' dynasty after two games? That feels like a lifetime ago.
- Kansas City has won four of their last five games with a +71 point differential
- During that stretch, the Chiefs rank second in offensive EPA per play and fifth in defensive EPA per play, per RBSDM.com.
- Patrick Mahomes has accounted for 14 touchdowns (12 passing, two rushing) and just two turnovers from Week 3 onward.
And it's not unreasonable to think they're just getting going with Rashee Rice, KC's best offensive playmaker, back in the mix. That's a tough pill for many fans of AFC teams to swallow.
-> Bet on Mahomes against the Commanders
Washington would probably make this game interesting if Daniels were playing, but he's not. Instead, the Commanders are turning to Marcus Mariota, who looked shaky in relief of Daniels against the Dallas Cowboys.
I expect KC to put up a bunch of points against Washington's 21st-ranked scoring defence, and can't see Mariota keeping pace.
Key stat: The Chiefs have covered this number in all four of their wins.
Monday Night Football prop pick
Pacheco over 50.5 rushing yards (-114): If this game goes as I suspect it will, Pacheco should have plenty of opportunities to rumble.
The fourth-year back had a really poor start to the season, but is starting to show signs of life.
- Week 6: 12 rushes for 51 yards (4.3 YPC)
- Week 7: 15 rushes for 57 yards (3.8 YPC)
The efficiency is still lacking, but Pacheco has out-touched veteran Kareem Hunt — who is averaging 3.9 YPC himself — by 17 in the last two weeks.
-> Don't miss out — Back Pacheco on Monday Night Football!
Pacheco's 15 carries in Week 7 marked the most he's logged since returning from a leg injury last year. Washington's defence ranks 20th in EPA per rush and 19th in opponent yards per carry, which shapes up nicely for the RB.
Commanders vs. Chiefs made at 3:35 p.m. ET 10/25/2025.
