NFL Week 8 concludes at Arrowhead Stadium in what should be a lopsided matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs and Washington Commanders.
The pregame narrative: Washington is a 13-point underdog on Monday Night Football without its star quarterback, Jayden Daniels. Kansas City has decisively won four of its last five games and is now favoured to win the Super Bowl with Patrick Mahomes topping the MVP odds board.
Check out our top Commanders vs. Chiefs MNF TD picks, featuring Mahomes and Rashee Rice.
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Commanders vs. Chiefs TD picks: Week 8
Best bet: Rice to score a TD (-118)
The Chiefs are rolling, and just got that much scarier with their top wideout back in the mix.
Returning from a six-game suspension, Rice caught seven of 10 targets for two TDs against the Las Vegas Raiders last week. No other player had more than five targets in a 31-0 blowout win.
Kansas City has now won four of its last five games, averaging 29.6 PPG with a +71 point differential.
The offence is firing on all cylinders, and Rice received the lion's share of looks in his first game back from injury.
-> Bet on Rashee Rice to shine on Monday Night Football
Rice has always commanded a high target share in Kansas City's offence, so there's good reason to believe that will happen again.
- Rice only played three games in 2024 due to an LCL injury, but had 29 targets, 288 yards and two scores.
- In his rookie season, he led KC in receiving TDs (seven) and was second to only Travis Kelce in receptions (79), targets (102) and yards (938).
Key stat: Rice had four red-zone targets in Week 7.
Monday Night Football TD picks
Mahomes to score a TD (+295): Mahomes will probably want to keep his uniform clean tonight, especially if the Chiefs are running away with the ballgame.
But I can't pass on these odds, given how often he has called his own number through seven games.
-> Bet on Patrick Mahomes to win MVP at NorthStar Bets
The veteran QB has 42 rushing attempts for 250 yards and four TDs so far. For reference, Josh Allen has 49 rushes for 261 yards and five TDs.
Mahomes is a big body who seems to be magically elusive whenever he tucks and runs. The Commanders' defence isn't great, so I expect plenty of trips to the red zone.
Look for Mahomes to find the end zone at some point.
Commanders vs. Chiefs TD picks made at 11:14 a.m. ET 10/26/2025.
