NFL Week 11 begins in Foxborough, Massachusetts, when the New England Patriots host the New York Jets.
The pregame narrative: New England has won seven straight games and holds a sizeable AFC East lead behind MVP frontrunner Drake Maye. New York, meanwhile, has back-to-back victories after starting the year off 0-7, but is still a sizeable road underdog in this divisional matchup.
Check out my Jets vs. Patriots SGP predictions for Nov. 13, featuring Breece Hall and TreVeyon Henderson.
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Jets vs. Patriots predictions
SGP: Jets +20.5 | Hall 3+ receptions | Henderson anytime TD (+460)
Jets +20.5 (-345): New England deserves to be heavily favoured in this matchup, but I struggle to see it winning by three-plus scores.
After all, how good are these Pats, really?
Mike Vrabel's squad has beaten up on a bunch of bad opponents (Panthers, Bengals, Browns, Titans, Saints) and has a pair of razor-thin wins over contenders (Buccaneers, Bills).
I'm not trying to knock the Patriots for taking care of business against bad teams, but they've only covered a 20-point spread once all season.
-> Bet on New York vs. New England on TNF
New York has yet to lose by 21+ points and has actually kept seven of nine games within one score.
The Jets will be missing star wide receiver Garrett Wilson, but I still think defensive-minded head coach Aaron Glenn can turn this divisional matchup into a slog.
Thursday Night Football SGP picks
Hall 3+ receptions (+112): You know that meme of a Bugatti being parked next to a mobile home? That's how I feel about Hall on the Jets.
The fourth-year running back ranks 10th in rushing yards (664) and is churning out a respectable 4.8 YPA behind an awful offensive line.
He's also caught 22 passes for 220 yards, which nets out to an average of 2.4 receptions per game.
Hall is an elite pass-catching back who should be targeted more often. In his sophomore season, he caught 76 passes in 17 games (4.47/game).
Without Wilson, I think it's a no-brainer to get Hall more involved in the passing game. Justin Fields should be checking it down to him early and often.
-> Build your own SGP featuring Hall and Henderson here!
Henderson anytime TD (-155): Henderson's breakout opportunity came at the expense of a Rhamondre Stevenson injury. And the rookie RB delivered with the veteran sidelined over the past two games.
- Week 9: 18 touches, 87 scrimmage yards
- Week 10: 15 touches, 150 scrimmage yards, two TDs
Henderson also turned 10 carries into 75 yards in Week 8 with a fully healthy backfield.
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Stevenson (toe, questionable) might return this week, but it would be hard for Vrabel to put the genie back in the bottle now.
The Ohio State product has earned the right to get red zone touches, and New York's defence ranks 22nd in EPA per rush, according to RBSDM.com.
Jets vs. Patriots predictions made at 11:35 a.m. ET 11/12/2025.
