For the second time in three days, the Golden State Warriors face the San Antonio Spurs at Frost Bank Center.
The latest: On Wednesday, a 46-point effort from Steph Curry lifted the Warriors to a 125-120 win in South Texas. It was the Spurs' first home loss of the season, and they're favoured to return to the win column tonight.
Check out my Warriors vs. Spurs picks for Friday, Nov. 14, featuring Victor Wembanyama and Draymond Green.
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Warriors vs. Spurs picks
Best bet: Green under 7.5 points (-130)
Green is in an unfair fight tonight, and I think he's easy to fade even at a lowly number like this.
Listed as the Warriors' starting centre right now, the 6-foot-6 Green is nearly a foot shorter than his frontcourt counterpart, Wembanyama.
Friday's performance from Green illustrated the matchup issues:
- 1-of-10 shooting
- 6 points
- 4 turnovers
- Fouled out
Green's flat night included 0-for-7 shooting from 3-point range.
-> Bet on Wemby vs. Golden State!
Why did he feel compelled to continue launching from deep when that's not his game? Probably because the most fearsome defensive presence in the league was waiting for him in the paint.
At any rate, I don't expect Green to shoot as much in tonight's rematch. His 10 field goal attempts and seven 3-point attempts were both his second-highest totals of the season ... and that didn't pay off.
San Antonio ranks fourth in points allowed and sixth in defensive rating. This is a tough team to get buckets against, and Green is not that guy.
This under is 3-1 in Green's four career matchups vs. Wemby in San Antonio.
Key stat: Green has gone under 7.5 points in seven of his past nine games, averaging 6.7 PPG in that span.
-> Wager on Friday's nine-game NBA slate
Wembanyama prop prediction
Wembanyama over 16.5 rebounds/assists (-132): One thing I like about this number is that Wembanyama can clear it on rebounds alone. He's already done so twice this year.
The 7-foot-4 superstar, who leads the NBA in blocks and defensive rebounds per game, also has a passing touch.
He just lit up the Warriors with 10 assists in Wednesday's matchup — to go with 15 rebounds.
-> Check out tonight's Warriors vs. Spurs prop markets
So, yes, he soared past this rebounds/assists line last time out. Wemby is 6-5 vs. this number so far, averaging 17.0 RA.
I know Wemby can get a dozen boards in his sleep, but I wanted to loop in assists with my pick because this seems like a good matchup for him.
- The Warriors are allowing the fourth-most assists to opposing centres (4.92/game), per Fantasy Pros.
- In five career matchups vs. Golden State, Wembanyama is averaging 6.2 assists.
Warriors vs. Spurs picks made at 9:36 a.m. ET on 11/14/2025.
