The Minnesota Timberwolves and Sacramento Kings meet for the second time in less than a week, with Friday's matchup taking place in the Midwest.
The pregame narrative: Minnesota routed Sacramento on Sunday with 13 different players finding the score sheet. The Kings are on a brutal four-game losing streak, accumulating a -105 point differential in that span. Unsurprisingly, the T-Wolves are double-digit home favourites tonight.
Check out my Kings vs. Timberwolves SGP predictions for Nov. 14.
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Kings vs. Timberwolves SGP
Parlay: Edwards 3+ threes | DeRozan 20+ points | Randle 6+ assists (+295)
Edwards 3+ threes (-335): Edwards is arguably the best 3-point shooter in today's game.
The sixth-year guard is leading the league in 3s per game (4.1) while shooting 50.0% from deep. That type of efficiency is unsustainable, but a regression of 10 percentage points would still put him in the elite of the elite.
- Last season, Edwards averaged 4.1 makes on 39.5% shooting.
- He had 3+ threes in 62 of 79 starts (78.4%).
- This year, Edwards has 3+ threes in all six games where he's played 5+ minutes.
This is also a plus matchup. The Kings rank 23rd in 3-point defence, and Edwards went 5-of-10 from deep against them on Sunday.
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DeRozan 20+ points (-132): You have to respect a player like DeRozan, who has been among the most consistent scorers of the last decade and change.
- DeRozan has averaged 20+ PPG in 12 straight seasons.
- He ranked in the 97th percentile or greater in mid-range shot frequency in each of those campaigns, per Cleaning the Glass.
- This year, he's averaging 19.2 PPG and is in the 100th percentile for mid-range shot frequency.
The veteran forward knows how to get his buckets and isn't trying to reinvent the wheel.
Minnesota is a juicy matchup, given that it ranks 24th in mid-range defence. DeRozan had 21 points agianst the T-Wolves on Saturday on 7-of-11 shooting.
That type of volume is well below his baseline, too, so I feel confident betting on a repeat performance.
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Randle 6+ assists (-129): The Julius-Randle-for-Karl-Anthony-Towns trade has worked out beautifully for both sides.
Randle is having a resurgent season, averaging career-highs in points (25.4) and assists (6.2). I want to tap into his passing abilities tonight.
The forward is leading the Timberwolves in potential assists per game (9.9), which NBA.com denotes as a pass leading directly to a shot.
Randle is clearly embracing his role as a facilitator, and now he faces a team giving up the sixth-most assists per game to opposing power forwards, per Fantasy Pros.
Overall, he's 7-4 against this line.
Kings vs. Timberwolves SGP made at 12 p.m. ET 11/14/2025.
